Still, Colorado State University on Thursday released its first of several outlook reports, this one anticipating slightly above-average activity for this year's Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30.
"We anticipate a slightly above-average probability for".
An average Atlantic hurricane season produces 12 named storms of which six become hurricanes, three of them major.
This season could exhibit similar patterns as 1960, 1967, 1996, 2006 and 2011, according to their report.
"Long-term statistics show that, on average, the more active the overall Atlantic basin hurricane season is, the greater the probability of US hurricane landfall", wrote authors Philip Klotzbach and Michael Bell in their forecast.
The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season produced 17 tropical storms, about the historical average. The warming of Pacific Ocean waters through El Niño tends to lead to a weaker hurricane season in the Atlantic, while La Niña has the opposite affect.
Gulf Coast: 38 percent (average for past century is 30 percent) * U.S. East Coast: 39 percent (average is 31 percent) * Entire continental U.S. coast: 63 percent (average is 52 percent).
If conditions remain neutral or a La Nina episode occurs, there may be an increased number of named tropical systems in the Atlantic Basin. More than 100 people died as a result of major storms a year ago and the events caused an estimated $200 billion in damage, according to figures from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Those warm waters along the equator in the Pacific can cause more wind shear to develop in the Atlantic that can tear apart storms.
The CSU researchers also found that in 2018 there is a 52% chance for a major storm to hit US-owned islands in the Caribbean, versus an average 42% chance for the last century.
"No one could say in early August previous year we were going to witness the apocalypse", Klotzbach said.